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Oct 30, 2012
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he was in minneapolis, minnesota where the polls, 47/44, president obama with 47%. let me play a little bit of former president bill clinton, please. >> if those experts are right and we're going to get 12 million more jobs based on what he's already done, i think the guy who should be at the helm is the person whose policies created those jobs to give us a more perfect union. >> chris, there is former president bill clinton talking about jobs, which we know the is the most important thing right now in this race. the economy and recovery here. is a message like that affectefe with all the haze going on right now? should is that argument been sealed weeks ago, or if not longer than that? >> in the battlegrounds that have been impacted by the storm, i'm not sure what's going to penetrate over the next three or four days. we're talking about a much bigger map in places like wisconsin, nevada, colorado where you're going to have, i think in lieu of the principals, you have surrogates like president clinton going there speaking, it does have an impact. talking about the
he was in minneapolis, minnesota where the polls, 47/44, president obama with 47%. let me play a little bit of former president bill clinton, please. >> if those experts are right and we're going to get 12 million more jobs based on what he's already done, i think the guy who should be at the helm is the person whose policies created those jobs to give us a more perfect union. >> chris, there is former president bill clinton talking about jobs, which we know the is the most...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. ♪ so you went right back to the pathfinder's essence, kept its dna, and created the next-gen s.u.v. starting with a drivetrain that gives best-in-class fuel economy of 26 miles per gallon, highway... ♪ ...and intuitive 4-wheel drive? ♪ if inside it had best-in-class front, head, and leg room and interior roominess? and outside, best-in-class standard towing of 5,000 pounds? ♪ [ whistles ] [ all scream, laugh ] [ male announcer ] yeah, that would be cool. introducing the all-new nissan pathfinder. it's our most innovative pathfinder ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪ >>> welcome back to "hardball." we've gotten to
in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. ♪ so you went right back to the...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. >>> welcome back to "hardball." we've gotten to the point in this campaign where you count hours, not days, and in this remaining precious time, you can tell where barack obama and mitt romney think this race will be won or lost. just take a look at their travel schedules through election day. for the president, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, and florida, of course. for governor romney, those same seven states plus his newly contested edition. he's going to pennsylvania. but zero in on today, and you can see what matters most, ohio, ohio, ohio as the late tim russert would say. three stops for the presi
in new hampshire a new poll from new england college finds president obama with a 6-point lead. that's solid. 50%/44%. in wisconsin a new poll from st. norbert college has the president up 9, 52%/43%. that's a surprise. here is a poll from that hot senate race in indiana. i love this one. joe donnelly of notre dame has an 11-point lead over richard mourdock with the libertarian candidate at 6%. speaking for the democrats, of course. we'll be right back. >>> welcome back to...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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>> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs, which is way above the 125,000 predicted, and now we have three months of 170,000-plus. >> you notice -- >> so it is starting to go up substantially. >> if you compare it to what happened when -- four years ago, i think they lost 400,000 jobs or so this month, it is change for the better. i notice -- >> i'd say. >> i notice today there was a lot less arguing about these jobs numbers than there have been the last -- >> you spoke too soon. someone who wasn't pleased with the jobs report was mitt romney. here he is with his statement. the candidate said, quote, this is a state
>> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of enjoying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs,...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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president obama and governor romney's renewed campaign come as the latest polls show president obama lead big six points in eye but locked in a tight balle with romney in new hampshire and wisconsin. nearly all interviews conducted before hurricane sandy, which just might end up being the defining moment of this election. joining me today to discuss all of this and more, msnbc political analyst and national affairs editor for "new york" magazine, john heilemann. msnbc political analyst and executive editor of msnbc.com, richard wolffe. msnbc political analyst, jonathan alter of bloomberg view, and msnbc political analyst and former dnc, karen finney, hopefully joining us shortly. john, i go to you first. in terms of sandy being an inflection point, game changer, if you will, a term we do not toss around lightly, are we -- is it -- is it a game changer? can you prognosticate that far? do you think the president is stronger coming out of the sandy response as a candidate? >> look, there's no question that if you think about this storm and what it's done to the media environment over th
president obama and governor romney's renewed campaign come as the latest polls show president obama lead big six points in eye but locked in a tight balle with romney in new hampshire and wisconsin. nearly all interviews conducted before hurricane sandy, which just might end up being the defining moment of this election. joining me today to discuss all of this and more, msnbc political analyst and national affairs editor for "new york" magazine, john heilemann. msnbc political...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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that shows some resurgence by president obama in the poll we did in early october. weighs down four among likely voters. he's regained the support of women voters, some of whom he lost in that first presidential debate. we see him making up the lost ground from the debates in the final weeks of campaigning. but man, 48-48 among likely voters who could call a contest like this one? >> when you talk about the gender gap, he has in your poll in the swing states at least, president obama has a huge, 26-point gender gap with women. but take a look at what men are saying about mitt romney. >> mitt romney has men -- according to your polling, fiercely pro romney. >> we have a big gender divide as you said, 26%. but look at the racial divide. when you put race and gender together, white men are going for mitt romney by 27 percentage points in this poll. it shows the divide we've had. and the way that the parties are putting together coalitions that are so extremely different from each other and divide the electorate almost evenly. >> ruth marcus, when we talk about such a p
that shows some resurgence by president obama in the poll we did in early october. weighs down four among likely voters. he's regained the support of women voters, some of whom he lost in that first presidential debate. we see him making up the lost ground from the debates in the final weeks of campaigning. but man, 48-48 among likely voters who could call a contest like this one? >> when you talk about the gender gap, he has in your poll in the swing states at least, president obama has...
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Nov 3, 2012
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the older university poll has a nine point lead for obama. two other polls in the last couple days with a five point lead. >> why is the president there? >> that makes total sense. he's in iowa, wisconsin and ohio. you can't see a avenue for romney to go in. he's helping out a senate candidate. she's in a very tight, tight close race. that really is a close one. obama coming in twice, i think is very helpful to her. >> the president is going to be in madison in a few days. how big a deal is that going to be? >> i saw the street closing list. it's going to be a little hard to drive around. he's bringing bruce springsteen who madison loves. it's going to be a morning rally. i suspect not a lot of work will get done that day. >> let's talk about paul ryan. this is unusual that man that's running for two seats in one day. is he in trouble in this house seat? this is probably the best candidate, i keep hearing this that rob zerban is the most formidable candidate that's gone against paul ryan. >> ryan has never had below 57% of the vote. he's won
the older university poll has a nine point lead for obama. two other polls in the last couple days with a five point lead. >> why is the president there? >> that makes total sense. he's in iowa, wisconsin and ohio. you can't see a avenue for romney to go in. he's helping out a senate candidate. she's in a very tight, tight close race. that really is a close one. obama coming in twice, i think is very helpful to her. >> the president is going to be in madison in a few days. how...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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they've got to come back to the polls. the indications are they will, but we don't know for sure. >> and the that is the whole point of the obama turnout operation that has been in place now for four years. the state director, greg schultz, has been on the ground in ohio since the last campaign, the last presidential campaign in 20308, putting together this big network of 2008 voters. they're doing a pretty good job and they're feeling very good about this state. going back to the point about sandy, the local tv coverage that we've seen here has been positive for president obama, not just for some of the events he's had here. bill clinton was here yesterday. but the coverage of sandy has been positive for the president. even on local television, as i had mentioned, the coverage is relative lly positive for president obama. >> thanks to both of you who have been on the ground in ohio. back to the final jobs report, let's talk about that. the economy adding a better than expected 171,000 jobs in october. but the unemployment
they've got to come back to the polls. the indications are they will, but we don't know for sure. >> and the that is the whole point of the obama turnout operation that has been in place now for four years. the state director, greg schultz, has been on the ground in ohio since the last campaign, the last presidential campaign in 20308, putting together this big network of 2008 voters. they're doing a pretty good job and they're feeling very good about this state. going back to the point...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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the latest polling averages according to nate silver of "the new york times" give president obama 50.3 with mitt romney 48.6. president obama has a 74% chance of winning the election based on his strong performance in several swing states. the president is hoping to capitalize on the momentum to encourage voters to go to the polls as soon as possible by taking advantage of early voting. as of this morning, more than 10.5 million people have already cast their ballots including the president himself. president obama flew back to chicago on thursday to take advantage of early voting in illinois becoming the first sitting president in history to cast a ballot early. mitt romney's campaign, meanwhile, has been buffeted by a series of things that happened to put him on defensive. richard mourdock, who romney has endorsed, became the latest gop candidate to make con throw versal comments about rape. john sununu suggested that former secretary of state colin powell had crossed party lines to endorse president obama because of the president's race. i think what we're seeing in the race is esse
the latest polling averages according to nate silver of "the new york times" give president obama 50.3 with mitt romney 48.6. president obama has a 74% chance of winning the election based on his strong performance in several swing states. the president is hoping to capitalize on the momentum to encourage voters to go to the polls as soon as possible by taking advantage of early voting. as of this morning, more than 10.5 million people have already cast their ballots including the...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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polls show barack obama consistently ahead in iowa and wisconsin. if he holds on there, he won both last time, he just needs to win florida, ohio or virginia. he's behind in florida and a dead heat in virginia. he seems to be ahead in ohio. it's why the candidates are spending so much time in that state. obama has a 73.6% chance of winning. it's hard to imagine a romney victory without winning ohio. okay. everybody is in ohio. it's such a bizarre undertaking to go through the map and everyone now has these nice interactive things. is that your sense of the race? my sense of the race is that it's very hard to see it not coming down to ohio if we are sitting down on election night figuring out what the call is going to be made, it looks like ohio is going to determine it. you have been around the country. i'm just curious, what sort of the mood has been in different swing districts that you have been in? you are active in all parts of the country. >> we have been active in a number of battleground states. i have most recently been to ohio and new hamp
polls show barack obama consistently ahead in iowa and wisconsin. if he holds on there, he won both last time, he just needs to win florida, ohio or virginia. he's behind in florida and a dead heat in virginia. he seems to be ahead in ohio. it's why the candidates are spending so much time in that state. obama has a 73.6% chance of winning. it's hard to imagine a romney victory without winning ohio. okay. everybody is in ohio. it's such a bizarre undertaking to go through the map and everyone...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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we were looking at a recent poll from the miami herald that looks at sort of obama and romney support. when you include cuban americans in the counting, president obama is leading by a slight margin, 51%. if, however, you look at it with cuban americans excluded from it, then all of a sudden president obama it leading at about 65%. obviousli obviously, that's an krags indication that you end up with national origin and other issues. >> i think florida is a microcosm for that diversity. in south florida, the miami area, you have a cuban american vote that's very republican. regardless of the generation. then you go into the i-4 corridor and you see the explosion of the puerto rican vote. interestingly enough, you have democrats but also a growing number of independents. then if you go even further, you have a smattering of mexican americans. what is the trend for the future there. it's not mexican americans in texas. it's going to be puerto ricans and cuban americans. we've been talking about latinos being pandered to. they're not. there's a lot of hot and heavy wooing going on. but th
we were looking at a recent poll from the miami herald that looks at sort of obama and romney support. when you include cuban americans in the counting, president obama is leading by a slight margin, 51%. if, however, you look at it with cuban americans excluded from it, then all of a sudden president obama it leading at about 65%. obviousli obviously, that's an krags indication that you end up with national origin and other issues. >> i think florida is a microcosm for that diversity. in...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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right now polls show that in key states like ohio, president obama leads mitt romney 2:1 or 60% to 30% with early voters. remains to be seen what strategy will seal the deal and who will win this election. but come election day, it will be clear whether the right strategy was galvanize voters early, early, early, or just hope they show up on election day. let's go to our table of experts. we -- look, this is it. 2450es are the final days. this is serious politics. so what's happening here particularly among my strategists. is it about targeting 106 counties, is it about early, early, swing voters, what is the winning strategy? >> what's going on is we have a gruff's race for ohio going on and barack obama and mitt romney are the candidates. we're dead in in terms of focusing in on specific counties because everyone's focused on ohio and i think to some degree candidates and people down at the county level in ohio may have better feel than some looking at polls and super pacs at the national level. >> we've been having a mike problem. but if you didn't hear out there, he's saying we hav
right now polls show that in key states like ohio, president obama leads mitt romney 2:1 or 60% to 30% with early voters. remains to be seen what strategy will seal the deal and who will win this election. but come election day, it will be clear whether the right strategy was galvanize voters early, early, early, or just hope they show up on election day. let's go to our table of experts. we -- look, this is it. 2450es are the final days. this is serious politics. so what's happening here...
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Nov 4, 2012
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until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2 points, a statistical dead heed. nbc news has its own poll coming out monday morning. look at the ad spending in these three states. $190 million in florida, $195 million in ohio, $150 million in virginia. more than half a billion collectively in the mega states of flohva. they're not just spending money there, they're spending time. from april 1st through election day, the president will have sited the sunshine state 14 times, for mitt romney, it's 16. president obama will have made 19 stops in ohio, governor romney will be there 21 times. and romney will make 14 visits to virginia, 13 stops for the president. so let's get to the special flohva panel. adam smith is the political editor, chris booker from our affiliate wcmh in columbus, and larry sabado, editor of the crystal ball blog. larry, let me start with you. the state of virginia, last time i
until florida our new poll has president obama up. ohio we still have the president holding his lead. 51% to 45%. and in a recent poll of likely voters in virginia, the president was up 2 points, a statistical dead heed. nbc news has its own poll coming out monday morning. look at the ad spending in these three states. $190 million in florida, $195 million in ohio, $150 million in virginia. more than half a billion collectively in the mega states of flohva. they're not just spending money...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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president obama with a narrow lead in florida where the race stands at 49% to 47% among likely voters. we'll be talking more about ohio and the republican freak-out over polling analysis later in the program. right now joining me at the table we have michael moynihan cultural editor for "newsweek" and the daily beast ale li beei stevenson, columnist for "bloomberg view" associate professor at the ford school university of michigan and former chief economist at the obama labor department, and mom to the 3-week-old oliver, congratulations, that's really awesome. all right, it has been five days since sandy came ashore on the east coast as a post-tropical cyclone, the exact location of landfall didn't much matter because it was a 1,000-mile wide storm. at least 109 people are said to have died in the u.s. and another 60 were killed in the caribbean. as of this morning 2.9 million customers remain without power across 15 states and the washington, d.c. the economic losses are nearing $50 billion. flooding of new york subways and commuter train tunnels and loss of business accounts for muc
president obama with a narrow lead in florida where the race stands at 49% to 47% among likely voters. we'll be talking more about ohio and the republican freak-out over polling analysis later in the program. right now joining me at the table we have michael moynihan cultural editor for "newsweek" and the daily beast ale li beei stevenson, columnist for "bloomberg view" associate professor at the ford school university of michigan and former chief economist at the obama...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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and while the same poll shows president obama with a 14-point lead over mitt romney, 52-38, the former governor's support has grown by eight points there since last month. >> mike, i saw another poll out maybe from the university of new hampshire. i hope i'm not misquoting it. they took a poll in this race, 45%/45%. >> yeah. >> you know what? you've got to give scott brown huge props. i don't think any of us expected him to stay in the race this long with -- >> he's done an usual thinusuali think for a candidate. scott brown has managed to maintain his personal favorability. people like him. they might disagree with him ideologically, but people like him. his favorability rating, he's maintained that while going on the attack against elizabeth warren. he said some really brutal personal attack ads on elizabeth warren. that race, my sense of it is going to come down to how well the president does in massachusetts. one of the key points in that story is that the president of the united states was leading governor romney by 23 to 25 points three or four weeks ago, that's now down to about
and while the same poll shows president obama with a 14-point lead over mitt romney, 52-38, the former governor's support has grown by eight points there since last month. >> mike, i saw another poll out maybe from the university of new hampshire. i hope i'm not misquoting it. they took a poll in this race, 45%/45%. >> yeah. >> you know what? you've got to give scott brown huge props. i don't think any of us expected him to stay in the race this long with -- >> he's done...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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>> chuck, look at the poll numbers. there is serious tightening in these states, the lean democratic column for quite a while right now. but it is important to note that president obama actually leads still in all of them and, in fact, the margins we're often seeing look close to what john kerry carried those states in 2004 versus 2008. but overall this is something -- this is the recognition the power the super pacs are playing. the pro-romney restore in play. other super pacs going in there and that's opened up things a little bit. the biggest question, why didn't we see these moves months ago? >> let me ask you something, are you concerned -- look, the fact of the matter is and i've done some of the math, it is possible and it's not like an out there scenario, that mitt romney could win the national vote by a point and you guys win the electoral college. that would make governing in the second term difficult, would it not? >> i don't know. there is recent precedent for that happening and i think -- >> for six months
>> chuck, look at the poll numbers. there is serious tightening in these states, the lean democratic column for quite a while right now. but it is important to note that president obama actually leads still in all of them and, in fact, the margins we're often seeing look close to what john kerry carried those states in 2004 versus 2008. but overall this is something -- this is the recognition the power the super pacs are playing. the pro-romney restore in play. other super pacs going in...